"Tweet id","Tweet permalink","Tweet text","time","impressions","engagements","engagement rate","retweets","replies","likes","user profile clicks","url clicks","hashtag clicks","detail expands","permalink clicks","app opens","app installs","follows","email tweet","dial phone","media views","media engagements","promoted impressions","promoted engagements","promoted engagement rate","promoted retweets","promoted replies","promoted likes","promoted user profile clicks","promoted url clicks","promoted hashtag clicks","promoted detail expands","promoted permalink clicks","promoted app opens","promoted app installs","promoted follows","promoted email tweet","promoted dial phone","promoted media views","promoted media engagements"
"1181307096089972738","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181307096089972738","@SilverVVulpes fox are you ok

(Elon might reply to you too someday. Ganbarre!)","2019-10-07 20:35 +0000","439.0","15.0","0.03416856492027335","0.0","1.0","5.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181293776700096517","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181293776700096517","@davedixx @gdb You know that there's been like 6 other similar-scale (or larger) models trained since then, right? Conor's, skylion's, Grover, XLNet, CTRL, and Megatron (so far, off the top of my head).","2019-10-07 19:42 +0000","60.0","5.0","0.08333333333333333","0.0","1.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181293398889816065","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181293398889816065","@gdb I think sometimes about when I reread old comments of mine I don't remember writing, and about reading the version of me from the GPT-2-117M we trained on our IRC channel logs. That would be a very spooky kind of gaslighting.","2019-10-07 19:41 +0000","629.0","11.0","0.017488076311605722","0.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181204829424771073","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181204829424771073","@robkhenderson On the other hand, experimental results like https://t.co/3Gv9KgmAk4 suggest those people on the margin would've been better off going for it.","2019-10-07 13:49 +0000","724.0","30.0","0.04143646408839779","0.0","0.0","3.0","3.0","24.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181015063366422528","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181015063366422528","@richardfuisz @ArtirKel @rivatez Yeah, beer, yogurt, kombucha, all these are easy. I use commercial Greek yogurt as a culture all the time. Surviving baking is a little more extreme.

While SF microbiome surely contributed to the original culture, I doubt it's important ongoing. Cultures are highly resilient.","2019-10-07 01:15 +0000","101.0","5.0","0.04950495049504951","0.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181014730963599360","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181014730963599360","@GeorgeTyler1998 @ArtirKel @rivatez Only one way to find out. I'm sure it's not worse than whatever starter you're using now, at least.","2019-10-07 01:13 +0000","48.0","4.0","0.08333333333333333","0.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181004784284905472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181004784284905472","@SteveStuWill https://t.co/D4ldaGsOk0

There's a lot of competition, though, of all kinds of beverages and drugs. Plus internal fratricide: may simply be stealing market share from each other, rather than going into unusual places advertising to non-alcohol drinkers.","2019-10-07 00:34 +0000","665.0","11.0","0.016541353383458645","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181003658256891905","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181003658256891905","@ArtirKel @rivatez Since a sourdough starter is just a trade secret and you agree to no contracts when you buy the loaf, it's not like they can stop you in any way, and you can keep buying loaves until it works. (How do you know you have Tartine's? Well, if it's delicious, who cares if it's not?)","2019-10-07 00:29 +0000","266.0","10.0","0.03759398496240601","0.0","2.0","5.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1181003412999229443","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1181003412999229443","@ArtirKel @rivatez I wonder if one could pirate the Tartine sourdough starter? A loaf would contain trillions of yeast; even after baking for 30+ minutes, there's a chance at least *some* are still alive? (Yeast can be tough.) If you blenderize it & begin a new culture...","2019-10-07 00:28 +0000","864.0","14.0","0.016203703703703703","0.0","1.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","7.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180964489388285953","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180964489388285953","@devonzuegel @zooko @rsnous Even with the 1% rule, there's still too many who want to put their thumbprint on something: https://t.co/zyPeaiNk4A","2019-10-06 21:54 +0000","823.0","52.0","0.06318347509113001","0.0","0.0","7.0","2.0","40.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180692978001678336","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180692978001678336","@collision @patrickc DATE:

WAITER:

ABSOLUTELY NO ONE:

PATRICK: ""...Did you know median per capita income in this census tract is fully ????? percent of what it would be if American productivity progress had continued its pre-1971 growth trends¡ª""","2019-10-06 03:55 +0000","5580.0","234.0","0.041935483870967745","0.0","0.0","90.0","57.0","0.0","0.0","87.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180684932164804608","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180684932164804608","And that subreddit has been deleted as well, so here's a link to the main BigQuery export of DNM-subreddits' comments: https://t.co/FxCbj0y18G","2019-10-06 03:23 +0000","13138.0","252.0","0.019181001674531892","5.0","0.0","27.0","22.0","110.0","0.0","88.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180612629594869763","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180612629594869763","@ArtirKel @Miles_Brundage I dunno, I've played a fair bit of both chess and Go and I struggle to think of anything except the very most abstract concept of a 'two player game where you take turns' which really transfers.","2019-10-05 22:36 +0000","518.0","8.0","0.015444015444015444","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","7.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180600372009717761","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180600372009717761","@Miles_Brundage As always, ""AI is whatever we can't do yet.""","2019-10-05 21:47 +0000","406.0","5.0","0.012315270935960592","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180600267005292545","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180600267005292545","@ArtirKel @Miles_Brundage I don't see why you would expect finetuning to be all that useful there (beyond maybe initial CNN layers). Chess players do not become great Go players or vice-versa. E. Lasker, for example, never became more than a mediocre Go player, and had no speedup over a kid.","2019-10-05 21:46 +0000","457.0","7.0","0.015317286652078774","0.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180548048268808193","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180548048268808193","@tailcalled The typical mind fallacy is terrifying indeed: https://t.co/4CWjTkqpRK","2019-10-05 18:19 +0000","114.0","2.0","0.017543859649122806","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180547759860006912","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180547759860006912","@0K_ultra Yes, inner voice/monologue is another one of those I've compiled in my list: https://t.co/BEVFZwNwwW https://t.co/rkPRBTo5pU https://t.co/5lfdXnyyUn https://t.co/iHlvPCXsQ3","2019-10-05 18:18 +0000","340.0","20.0","0.058823529411764705","0.0","0.0","2.0","3.0","15.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180508521957335042","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180508521957335042","@KirkegaardEmil @samsaragon Doesn't have to be general. I wouldn't expect the phonological loop to help with reaction time, or crystallized knowledge like vocab. But it could help with some things involving manipulation of items in short-term or working memory (as RAPM stresses) by enabling 'chunking'.","2019-10-05 15:42 +0000","291.0","3.0","0.010309278350515464","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180309149424508928","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180309149424508928","@brianchoffman I think '90s kids will appreciate it the most. The Rotten Library was kind of like a snarkier Wikipedia pre-Wikipedia, wasn't it? Nowadays you can find anything on WP, but harder to find that sort of writing back then.","2019-10-05 02:30 +0000","264.0","3.0","0.011363636363636364","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180305645284798467","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180305645284798467","I've made a mirror of the https://t.co/kGlrLn4sWz Library: 

https://t.co/SLqXpDAVJq

(Discussion: https://t.co/oGdHlnoJA2 )","2019-10-05 02:16 +0000","6478.0","297.0","0.04584748379129361","1.0","3.0","20.0","6.0","257.0","0.0","10.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180305361980596224","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180305361980596224","@HenryKrinkIe @ByYourLogic I've put up a mirror at https://t.co/SLqXpDAVJq","2019-10-05 02:15 +0000","79.0","3.0","0.0379746835443038","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180278774631415808","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180278774631415808","There's an SDAM subreddit now: https://t.co/9fasbbVPd8 because of course there is, why didn't it occur to me to search for it immediately.","2019-10-05 00:29 +0000","4917.0","157.0","0.031930038641448034","1.0","2.0","16.0","6.0","123.0","0.0","9.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180248930120065024","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180248930120065024","@BVLSingler @CSERCambridge But they're not entirely wrong, are they? The headline does demonstrate how much the image of the Terminator dominates public perception: want to know what CSER does? You can sum it up as 'Terminator studies' and expect the newspaper-reading public to understand instantly.","2019-10-04 22:30 +0000","575.0","4.0","0.006956521739130435","0.0","0.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180246757147582464","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180246757147582464","Refs on SDAM lack of long-term memory: https://t.co/lJuOqigVyW https://t.co/gJ7Rkuj5Jz https://t.co/zL6xcc2RvU https://t.co/tqcNEl4zIb https://t.co/O8OGa5dIn5 https://t.co/lghVF5LMXe","2019-10-04 22:22 +0000","6281.0","92.0","0.014647349148224804","2.0","1.0","12.0","5.0","71.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180246754849181698","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180246754849181698","Oh my god, there ??? people without any qualia of long-term memory: ""Severely Deficient Autobiographical Memory"" syndrome. And they say the exact same thing as aphantasics/anosmics/color-blind: https://t.co/epmJwhxGGP","2019-10-04 22:22 +0000","12723.0","313.0","0.024601116088972728","32.0","10.0","124.0","44.0","5.0","0.0","98.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180211165345001472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180211165345001472","@zackwhittaker I wonder if that reflects the tech stack of the campaigns in general? Are all the Google users on Linux stacks?","2019-10-04 20:00 +0000","1617.0","1.0","6.184291898577613E-4","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180175384261939201","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180175384261939201","@SteveStuWill Looks like Twitter messes this one up by recompressing it or something. Original: https://t.co/Oj1XXew1gw","2019-10-04 17:38 +0000","548.0","23.0","0.041970802919708027","0.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","19.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1180161816854503425","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1180161816854503425","September links: https://t.co/u4TklelgGy","2019-10-04 16:44 +0000","4878.0","129.0","0.026445264452644526","0.0","0.0","15.0","0.0","110.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179947544010473472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179947544010473472","@konradzolna @DeepMindAI I found the TRAIL part of the paper very difficult to read. It describes the constrained optimization as focusing on 'meaningful behavior' but then just drops in a bunch of equations and moves on. (But what does all of that mean?)","2019-10-04 02:33 +0000","878.0","8.0","0.009111617312072893","0.0","1.0","1.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179877519027249152","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179877519027249152","@jmhessel @yoavgo You could look at the history of progress curve in BLEU for WMT, look at the GPU count in each, guesstimate at number of labs/researchers actively working on the problem, and back out a 'marginal researcher-GPU' trendline and see how many years +3.2 BLEU is.","2019-10-03 21:54 +0000","114.0","2.0","0.017543859649122806","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179860140197060608","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179860140197060608","@NeilLewisJr @StuartJRitchie @tuckerdrob Even more related - it doesn't: @StuartJRitchie et al (2015): https://t.co/lEhfUj76Ur","2019-10-03 20:45 +0000","1365.0","154.0","0.11282051282051282","0.0","0.0","7.0","7.0","135.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179837117440114690","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179837117440114690","@natfriedman Rereading https://t.co/RtbK2AHRUC & https://t.co/yNytUTn0zI reminds me how good they & _Close to the Machine_ were. (Also of how Salon didn't suck back then.)","2019-10-03 19:14 +0000","8893.0","68.0","0.0076464635106263355","1.0","0.0","11.0","0.0","51.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179834978424774656","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179834978424774656","@NoamJStein ""My likes serve...in the following way: anyone who understands me eventually recognizes them as nonsensical, when he has used them¡ªas steps¡ªto climb beyond them to bluecheckdom. (He must, so to speak, throw away the ladder after he has climbed up it.)""","2019-10-03 19:05 +0000","1868.0","41.0","0.021948608137044967","1.0","0.0","13.0","23.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179795091684302855","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179795091684302855","@EthanZ Mirror: https://t.co/ThR74sn34R","2019-10-03 16:27 +0000","317.0","5.0","0.015772870662460567","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179602559151017984","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179602559151017984","@Meaningness I'm not sure about that. Contact between Tibet and Europe was very sparse. (They're still debating whether Hume was influenced or not.) The combination of 'red is maximal contrast' and 'red inks are very cheap & easy to make' explains parallel evolution of sacred rubrication.","2019-10-03 03:42 +0000","702.0","7.0","0.009971509971509971","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179600807123177472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179600807123177472","@albrgr @InsidePhilanthr The all in Mastercard shares seems suspicious. What responsible charity puts all its assets into a single stock rather than an index or something? I assume the cynical explanation here is that it's a way to lock up shares indefinitely and prop up the price for insiders' benefit.","2019-10-03 03:35 +0000","744.0","4.0","0.005376344086021506","0.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179597490733105152","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179597490733105152","@tophtucker You joke about the shock collar but I know of someone who was trying that. (Semi-inspired by the Pavlok.) They thought it might be working...","2019-10-03 03:22 +0000","2175.0","12.0","0.005517241379310344","0.0","1.0","3.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179597167402590208","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179597167402590208","@anniefryman @fulligin @timhwang now you too know my sorrow","2019-10-03 03:20 +0000","244.0","12.0","0.04918032786885246","0.0","1.0","3.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","7.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179595133655883776","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179595133655883776","@anniefryman @fulligin @timhwang I saw this one as a kid and it *still* haunts me: https://t.co/FQwnf4brln","2019-10-03 03:12 +0000","194.0","35.0","0.18041237113402062","0.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","30.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179591031853060096","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179591031853060096","@LauraDeming People have done this in citation analysis by tracing copying of bibliographic errors (https://t.co/JzjZ69v56D), which indicates they didn't look it up or check the citation details: eg https://t.co/NbN61BPDRq estimates ""only about 20% of citers read the original.""","2019-10-03 02:56 +0000","939.0","15.0","0.01597444089456869","0.0","2.0","4.0","6.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179583245379411969","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179583245379411969","@antonhowes @ArtirKel @nayafia That makes sense for things which can be incremental. Start a novel, if it doesn't work out, fine. But I don't know how that'd work for many other subscribed things like the Dictionary or Arabian Nights.","2019-10-03 02:25 +0000","621.0","3.0","0.004830917874396135","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179582440488275968","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179582440488275968","@anniefryman It raises so many thought-provoking questions.

Like: ""where is that cable going"".","2019-10-03 02:22 +0000","484.0","11.0","0.022727272727272728","0.0","1.0","1.0","7.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179578950357540865","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179578950357540865","@dpentecost So if red on white bg/black fg is fine, what is the equivalently contrasting color for white fg/black bg?","2019-10-03 02:08 +0000","152.0","2.0","0.013157894736842105","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179578633314344960","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179578633314344960","@sainieh It's not even consistent! The second one looks fine, it's the first one which looks awful. And they both are like 0.5MB anyway and really didn't need any compression (I run advpng/pngnq on all my PNGs in the first place).","2019-10-03 02:07 +0000","170.0","2.0","0.011764705882352941","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179565035800186882","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179565035800186882","Open question: as red appears to be the ??????????? ????????? ???????? color (https://t.co/DS7b9fxdoF), can red profitably be employed in dark mode to make up for issues? User reaction to red (https://t.co/EPnk54DC1n): ""looks like a vampire blog"".? https://t.co/7qF4dhpVrs","2019-10-03 01:13 +0000","6291.0","202.0","0.032109362581465586","1.0","9.0","15.0","0.0","62.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","110","110","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179563310070603778","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179563310070603778","- eg https://t.co/0iM0b7fGPM https://t.co/VFZ4VcYEQC

- Berlin Kay: red first color named after B/W: https://t.co/FZsv0MPAKN
- Tufte: Bryne's primary colors (black/red/yellow/blue) maximize contrast: https://t.co/4dGalDNxU0

Perhaps red just maximally contrasts with B/W pages?","2019-10-03 01:06 +0000","4755.0","47.0","0.009884332281808622","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","30.0","0.0","15.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179558464059854848","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179558464059854848","@ESYudkowsky Something something ultrafinite recursion: https://t.co/wdRaRJW9tx","2019-10-03 00:47 +0000","1506.0","102.0","0.06772908366533864","1.0","0.0","11.0","5.0","77.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179551734265454594","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179551734265454594","@goodfellow_ian @dwf If you believe barriers are a good thing, it's not hard to say 'I fully and without qualifications endorse these barriers, which are an actual solution, and strongly encourage the administration to implement additional solutions as well.' Instead of... what you  have been saying.","2019-10-03 00:20 +0000","1325.0","24.0","0.018113207547169812","0.0","3.0","1.0","10.0","0.0","0.0","10.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179550725275373568","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179550725275373568","@goodfellow_ian @dwf Really? Because saying something is 'not an actual solution' sure does sound like 'you shouldn't do it', and neither of you chose to correct it in several tweets beforehand, although you had plenty of time to police and call out other Twitter users for disagreeing with you.","2019-10-03 00:16 +0000","1915.0","53.0","0.027676240208877285","0.0","3.0","8.0","14.0","0.0","0.0","28.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179549902440976386","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179549902440976386","@goodfellow_ian @dwf I don't see it as sad at all. I see it as sadder that people will take letting perfect be the enemy of better to the extent of encouraging suicide.","2019-10-03 00:13 +0000","1191.0","43.0","0.03610411418975651","0.0","2.0","5.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","31.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179549105930096641","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179549105930096641","@dwf You criticize it and advocate not doing something which will save kids' lives, kids like those dear friends. All those bridge jumpers were also dear friends of people, not 'body counts'.","2019-10-03 00:09 +0000","429.0","8.0","0.018648018648018648","0.0","1.0","3.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179548781626499074","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179548781626499074","@GabeNicholas @logic_magazine How exactly did they buy 'thousands' of ether in 2014 and are still at subsistence level? The 2014 ICO was $0.3, and it's now $180. That's a return of like $180k for each of those thousands.

Maybe you should've pushed them harder on how 'profitable' their daytrading/mining is.","2019-10-03 00:08 +0000","480.0","2.0","0.004166666666666667","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179540495577604097","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179540495577604097","@marcoJcosta @s_r_constantin @deadalnix Indeed, doesn't have anything to do with 'intent to live'. It's about self-control and the long-term and maturing humanity.

(Covered a little in https://t.co/efhO2HsKZu & https://t.co/cMsItzw8wX )","2019-10-02 23:35 +0000","112.0","2.0","0.017857142857142856","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179525161701249026","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179525161701249026","@TWLiterature Well, none of the vampires sleep so Rip presumably sleeps no more than anyone else, although I don't think the anime discusses what they all *do* do between WWII and attacking England - wait, was this a question about _Hellsing_ or behavioral genetics","2019-10-02 22:34 +0000","113.0","1.0","0.008849557522123894","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179515952112848897","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179515952112848897","@drderringer Sorry, the best I can offer on violence/aggression is that it's heritable, polygenic, and too much of the literature is candidate-genes or underpowered: https://t.co/23Izc1wHDI","2019-10-02 21:58 +0000","767.0","18.0","0.02346805736636245","1.0","2.0","4.0","1.0","9.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179431180954951680","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179431180954951680","@dwf So you criticize a proven solution for reducing 'body count' (what a remarkably cold dismissal of all those people alive now because of nets - just 'body counts'?) because it won't solve literally everything about life or education.","2019-10-02 16:21 +0000","898.0","27.0","0.030066815144766147","0.0","1.0","7.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","17.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179428536463085568","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179428536463085568","_Spatial Ability: Its Educational and Social Significance_, Smith 1964 https://t.co/o1999HTwNO https://t.co/SBCfYfgiVg https://t.co/B6YqL58L0T","2019-10-02 16:10 +0000","3650.0","20.0","0.005479452054794521","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","16.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179427292197658635","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179427292197658635","@dwf My understanding was that they actually are an 'actual solution', as many suicides are impulsive, and adding barriers to hotspots like bridges does not displace suicide but reduces them, and this was well known: https://t.co/WJRN3BCHkN https://t.co/MKBIYuEAxg","2019-10-02 16:05 +0000","2397.0","108.0","0.04505632040050062","0.0","2.0","16.0","10.0","13.0","0.0","67.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179425147494830081","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179425147494830081","@ttmariemia @zooko @ZcashFoundation @ElectricCoinCo No, you'd have the ZEC (which sit long-term in a static address/contract, increasing their vesting rights every day), and then tap into your ZEC *without moving them* by getting a loan from someone else to do any other stuff - possibly to buy unencumbered ZEC, even.","2019-10-02 15:57 +0000","173.0","1.0","0.005780346820809248","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179240615822925824","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179240615822925824","@climatebrad @GernotWagner Am I reading this paper correctly, that they assume zero effect of carbon taxes on economic growth and no opportunity cost?","2019-10-02 03:44 +0000","459.0","1.0","0.002178649237472767","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179187019706183680","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179187019706183680","@jschauma I don't think he said. My prejudices are that it probably was a *nix. (I can't imagine a Windows box running unattended for that long, not when dating from that era.)","2019-10-02 00:11 +0000","106.0","4.0","0.03773584905660377","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179186417404174337","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179186417404174337","@dbweissman So you don't actually know.","2019-10-02 00:08 +0000","101.0","6.0","0.0594059405940594","0.0","1.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179186178362413056","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179186178362413056","@mendel_random It is not a major problem, and it's incredibly obscure other than as a cliche example. I asked for real examples, not obscure diseases. And H pylori infections may be heritable, but >0.8 as I asked? I rather doubt that. These are the best you can do?","2019-10-02 00:07 +0000","414.0","10.0","0.024154589371980676","0.0","1.0","4.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179182785493393409","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179182785493393409","@andy_matuschak My notes on 'anti-spaced repetition': https://t.co/jD4SsY6VBW

Also musings on how to optimize new vs rewatchs for movies: https://t.co/2sUIDUSaPK","2019-10-01 23:54 +0000","475.0","38.0","0.08","0.0","0.0","5.0","1.0","24.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179168256369840129","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179168256369840129","@devonzuegel I am very basic and always recommend the Noguchi Museum. I visit whenever I can when I'm in the area. (Over the years, I admire more and more Noguchi's efforts at doing all of sculpture and architecture and furniture and garden & interior design according to his vision.)","2019-10-01 22:56 +0000","2775.0","45.0","0.016216216216216217","1.0","0.0","25.0","7.0","0.0","0.0","12.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179136599839379458","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179136599839379458","@pjrvs HN suggestions: https://t.co/V1WD5RP2vn","2019-10-01 20:50 +0000","723.0","40.0","0.05532503457814661","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","39.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179136210293477376","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179136210293477376","@jamesjyu @nayafia @antonhowes https://t.co/toeoPEHxbs !","2019-10-01 20:49 +0000","338.0","9.0","0.026627218934911243","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","7.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179132885435060225","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179132885435060225","@ArtirKel @nayafia @antonhowes (You see this transition very starkly in _The Paris Review_ interviews when you go from the earliest 1910s-1920s authors to contemporary authors. More recent authors are flattered, confused, and grateful if anyone publishes their shorts at all. Certainly not cash cows.)","2019-10-01 20:36 +0000","444.0","3.0","0.006756756756756757","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179132533197418496","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179132533197418496","@ArtirKel @nayafia @antonhowes They did survive in SF for decades beyond that. SF authors would follow a path of writing shorts, getting a first novel, then publishing anthologies with backcatalogue. Now the SF short market is gone, and you get started with novels (ideally trilogies). ???","2019-10-01 20:34 +0000","281.0","1.0","0.0035587188612099642","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179132227969531904","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179132227969531904","@ArtirKel @nayafia @antonhowes Publishing economics are confusing. For example, short stories. They used to be *huge*. Not just Dickens but writers like Fitzgerald made their name (and literal fortunes) by selling short stories. Now they are notorious as the most guaranteed money-losers short of poetry.","2019-10-01 20:33 +0000","4185.0","32.0","0.007646356033452807","2.0","4.0","9.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","13.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179130713880383489","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179130713880383489","@nayafia @antonhowes Yes, it's interesting how that comes up all the time back then. Samuel Johnson's Dictionary, or special limited editions like Burton Watson's _1001 Arabian Nights_ (https://t.co/Xc4GyDijU3) (Note, incidentally, the rubrication/typographer's red in the title page samples.)","2019-10-01 20:27 +0000","847.0","3.0","0.0035419126328217238","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179114400235606026","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179114400235606026","@rictic @united I assume they are trying to implement DRM. There were 2 or 3 media entries which didn't require the app, and they were of course obscure TV things I'd never heard of. Everything you'd actually watch required the app.","2019-10-01 19:22 +0000","323.0","1.0","0.0030959752321981426","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179113991941046278","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179113991941046278","@mendel_random H. pylori is now heritability? You're trotting out PKU, really? And myopia doesn't even satisfy my question in the first place. All I asked was 3 examples of things like childhood obesity which are highly heritable and also solved by policy. Why is it so difficult to name 3?","2019-10-01 19:20 +0000","574.0","22.0","0.03832752613240418","1.0","1.0","7.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","12.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179113438875996160","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179113438875996160","@jschauma We asked him how it was on the Internet at all (he never said WWW, just Internet), and he didn't know. Strange, but it's a big world, and there are lots of examples with somewhat smaller ages, so...","2019-10-01 19:18 +0000","94.0","1.0","0.010638297872340425","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179112961593544704","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179112961593544704","@dbweissman So your first example is not an example (fatal infectious disease heritabilities are usually <0.8 for obvious reasons on both sides), and your other two examples are very rare monogenic diseases. Do you think that supports the claims being made for things like childhood obesity?","2019-10-01 19:16 +0000","136.0","1.0","0.007352941176470588","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179112430565302279","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179112430565302279","@JProtzko @rubenarslan @dbweissman @drewhalbailey The average long-run net effect of that seems to've been fairly small. (The randomized experiments you might be thinking of have outliers and were selected for heavily deficient regions.) And that was a century ago in the US now.","2019-10-01 19:14 +0000","181.0","4.0","0.022099447513812154","0.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179111740631584768","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179111740631584768","@dbweissman Longevity comes to mind. If we were fighting some sort of life-history tradeoff or programmed aging strategy, it'd be doomed. But it seems to be largely just noise and not particularly influenced by either shared environment (hinting at lifestyle) or genes. So, senolytics etc.","2019-10-01 19:12 +0000","76.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179104543814098946","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179104543814098946","Another good one: @united Airlines has removed TVs from chairs. Makes sense, saves weight, tablets/phone screens as good/better.

You stream movies over a captive WiFi, of course. 

...but you need to install a United 'app'.

...and you can't install it over their WiFi. 

Whups.","2019-10-01 18:43 +0000","6038.0","66.0","0.01093077177873468","1.0","1.0","18.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","43.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179103476791558144","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179103476791558144","@jschauma I was recently told by someone that scanning the Internet, they'd found a server in Pakistan that had been up for ~30 years. Apparently it turned out it had been drywalled-in and never turned off, so... Solid-state machines can be remarkably reliable.","2019-10-01 18:39 +0000","91.0","1.0","0.01098901098901099","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179088158098673665","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179088158098673665","@dbweissman @rubenarslan I wouldn't. What policies solved height and what height crisis was there that those were trying to solve, exactly? So it's not even 1 example.","2019-10-01 17:38 +0000","192.0","2.0","0.010416666666666666","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179087846113759232","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179087846113759232","@dbweissman @rubenarslan @mendel_random And they are equivocating on what 'environment' means. In the strict technical term, yes, perhaps 'environment' did increase childhood obesity. It does not then follow that *any* policy interventions are affecting the relevant 'environment'.","2019-10-01 17:37 +0000","83.0","7.0","0.08433734939759036","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179087246546407424","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179087246546407424","@rubenarslan @dbweissman Let's try it this way. If high heritability is irrelevant, and 'environment' so easily modified, then it should be easy for you to name 3 examples of traits with high heritabilities (say >=0.8, like height or intelligence), which have been solved by standard policies. Can you?","2019-10-01 17:34 +0000","418.0","12.0","0.028708133971291867","0.0","3.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179086702960353281","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179086702960353281","@dbweissman @rubenarslan @mendel_random There obviously isn't any working long-term solution, or they would have simply pointed it out yet, and we wouldn't have childhood obesity as a problem now. Which is why it's such a telling example against these speculations.","2019-10-01 17:32 +0000","101.0","2.0","0.019801980198019802","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179084702898118658","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179084702898118658","@dbweissman @rubenarslan It's the same endless equivocation on (nonshared) environment as being affected by hypothetical interventions when convenient, while all actual policy interventions which are feasible or implemented fail on average. eg developmental noise doesn't mean vending machine taxes work.","2019-10-01 17:24 +0000","146.0","5.0","0.03424657534246575","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179084287582314496","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179084287582314496","@dbweissman @rubenarslan Not in the least. Look at https://t.co/oJVAHUEOfw It's the same motte-and-bailey as ever. 'Policy interventions fail, especially with high heritability.' 'Ah, but heritability doesn't mean immutability - we could *imagine* interventions which do work! Check and mate.'","2019-10-01 17:22 +0000","505.0","15.0","0.0297029702970297","1.0","3.0","6.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179080282789552132","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179080282789552132","@rubenarslan @mendel_random ""Policy interventions, comrades, have never truly been tried.""","2019-10-01 17:07 +0000","157.0","5.0","0.03184713375796178","0.0","1.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179072063161733122","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179072063161733122","@fluk @5auth Remember that the SR1 forums were left up deliberately.","2019-10-01 16:34 +0000","66.0","1.0","0.015151515151515152","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1179072003573256194","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1179072003573256194","@fluk @5auth Some people will be! You also can learn a lot from PMs and contacts, not to mention metadata like timing or shared PGP keys. You can use it for censorship, emphasizing FUD, or tracking people long-term. Lots of things you can do if you run a DNM forum.","2019-10-01 16:34 +0000","187.0","8.0","0.0427807486631016","0.0","2.0","2.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178828772147159041","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178828772147159041","@5auth All of that is consistent with him now being flipped, of course. And only the last one indicates it's him at all rather than someone pwning his computers (charitably assuming he didn't write it down).","2019-10-01 00:27 +0000","4568.0","33.0","0.007224168126094571","1.0","1.0","9.0","11.0","0.0","0.0","11.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178814959863685120","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178814959863685120","@celestelynpaul Oh sure, I've known about Waifu Labs for months. They use StyleGAN and Danbooru2018, even. They improve over my TWDNE by larger images and a slick web interface to editing, whereas I just punt to snowy halcy's Python scripts if anyone wants to do editing.","2019-09-30 23:32 +0000","129.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178814518845214723","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178814518845214723","@rubenarslan @mendel_random The original claim is about policy proposals, which typically propose policies which look like previously tested interventions, which have net effects as implemented in the real world of ~0 (cf the Metallic Laws), and do not look like 'let's re-enact Mao's Great Famine'.","2019-09-30 23:30 +0000","707.0","19.0","0.026874115983026876","1.0","2.0","8.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","7.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178752214321582086","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178752214321582086","@rubenarslan @mendel_random And that's part of the environment too. 'The environment is genetic', remember? If people don't want to go to the genocide-park, how are you going to stop them, as Yogi Berra might've said.","2019-09-30 19:23 +0000","745.0","7.0","0.009395973154362415","1.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178751293676019714","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178751293676019714","@slimdipping Yes. Predictit is already down to 30% non-impeachment, and skimming, I suspect it's still underestimating. Oh well. I figured he'd beat the Mueller report & learn a lesson, but I guess he couldn't help himself.","2019-09-30 19:19 +0000","138.0","2.0","0.014492753623188406","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178750492782006273","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178750492782006273","@antonhowes Yeah, it would've been fun if it was a real-life DAC, but if they only cover losses, then it doesn't have the right game-theory properties to solve public goods provision. Might be a good question what that sort of guarantee fund *does* solve under what circumstances?","2019-09-30 19:16 +0000","268.0","1.0","0.0037313432835820895","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178747310928465920","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178747310928465920","@KirkegaardEmil @NickWolfinger I don't recall any offhand, but I would be surprised if no one had done any by now.","2019-09-30 19:03 +0000","300.0","3.0","0.01","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178746647985168388","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178746647985168388","@rubenarslan @mendel_random In what sense is that an 'effective intervention'? We still have it, do we not? If you claim something is easily modified, people want to modify it, and it's not modified, then you are the one redefining words.","2019-09-30 19:01 +0000","1046.0","13.0","0.0124282982791587","2.0","1.0","7.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178746389175689217","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178746389175689217","@samsaragon No. Expensive and difficult to blind.","2019-09-30 19:00 +0000","41.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178746121067339776","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178746121067339776","@hentaikid I see it as the other end of the spectrum, similar to Charles Bonnet syndrome or how many people report low-level visual hallucinations as regular things.

(I'm not familiar with it, but it sounds like a story one doesn't need to know.)","2019-09-30 18:59 +0000","143.0","1.0","0.006993006993006993","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178745591427485696","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178745591427485696","@tambourine Have you considered using Google Colab? The free GPUs work quite well for finetuning and people already have lots of notebooks written to do that sort of thing.","2019-09-30 18:57 +0000","72.0","4.0","0.05555555555555555","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178745157157556231","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178745157157556231","@nathanbraun @michael_nielsen I use clean native-digital PDFs or EPUBs when they're available online or on Libgen, of course, no need to reinvent the wheel; but for countless books, a scan+OCR is all that will ever be possible. I describe how I do it here: https://t.co/4ggIV2HClK","2019-09-30 18:55 +0000","196.0","5.0","0.025510204081632654","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178744754995154949","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178744754995154949","@JoshPritsker Yes... Between old people and the lizardman constant, I don't know if one would find those all *that* surprising.","2019-09-30 18:53 +0000","93.0","1.0","0.010752688172043012","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178744397707583490","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178744397707583490","@ImperiumRequiem @KirkegaardEmil @woke8yearold 'TBC'?

As far as genome synthesis goes, I believe https://t.co/O2BfqMW3Ob represents roughly SOTA.","2019-09-30 18:52 +0000","130.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178739558197972999","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178739558197972999","@antonhowes I see. It sounded like it was an award for the method from the wording, but still an interesting example of the RSA popping up.

Incidentally, the Kickstarter-like thing I mentioned: https://t.co/qKlBgNn11N","2019-09-30 18:33 +0000","205.0","3.0","0.014634146341463415","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178738966851473409","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178738966851473409","- how often do mouse studies replicate or then transfer to humans? https://t.co/nLS1g8ngIF
- unusual Internet subcultures related to aphantasia: creating 'tulpas' https://t.co/djFcvEC5tW https://t.co/dt2TJr8fLY https://t.co/P5shvVYuzs","2019-09-30 18:30 +0000","4669.0","95.0","0.020346969372456628","0.0","1.0","9.0","0.0","85.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178738965345689601","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178738965345689601","- Interesting offbeat datasets: the OKCupid scrape, and the Pony Voice Preservation Project https://t.co/nAuEUPL9To
- Essence of hacking/security: 'seeing through': https://t.co/ELq1EKVn7V
- OSS funding: quadratic voting https://t.co/ODRpRjbhAf eg Gitcoin https://t.co/HKw0HzS2W3","2019-09-30 18:30 +0000","5280.0","49.0","0.009280303030303031","0.0","1.0","3.0","4.0","35.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178737049320468481","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178737049320468481","Travel observation: reviews are a tragedy of the anti-commons. I have 7 emails nagging me for reviews from the airlines/hotels etc (not counting feedback requests from services en route like airport WiFi) - which repeat! I can answer 1, but 7 makes one want to give up entirely.","2019-09-30 18:23 +0000","11450.0","69.0","0.0060262008733624455","0.0","2.0","30.0","22.0","0.0","0.0","15.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178546995717296128","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178546995717296128","- optimal review of movies or notes: https://t.co/2sUIDV9LHi https://t.co/jD4SsYowtu
- Notes towards dissolving Pascal's mugging with dynamic programming & high-mem AWS instances: https://t.co/YA7Ne0uJ8M","2019-09-30 05:47 +0000","4936.0","56.0","0.011345218800648298","1.0","1.0","4.0","4.0","44.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178546994685472768","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178546994685472768","- Do writers prefer mornings? https://t.co/cCOh7IlYZn
- Why aren't empirical fields like CS/AI using inadequate methods as irreplicable as social psych or candidate-genes? Perhaps their evolutionary grounding: https://t.co/LvIL2eU1n3","2019-09-30 05:47 +0000","4951.0","87.0","0.017572207634821247","1.0","1.0","7.0","8.0","67.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178546993586556928","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178546993586556928","- Aphantasia et al:  https://t.co/4CWjTkI0Ji https://t.co/RRuzs9A2Xg https://t.co/56xgvEU1Ez https://t.co/9TxXTHRU5J
- lrn2google: https://t.co/hnBd6b5wja
- CO2? https://t.co/R7HFCbCrXW https://t.co/ufeoS7E7sh
- Human steganography: https://t.co/Po4BFLl87S https://t.co/GKTDtUfMul","2019-09-30 05:47 +0000","2897.0","150.0","0.05177770107007249","0.0","1.0","1.0","2.0","143.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178546992600891399","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178546992600891399","Links for my conversees this weekend:

- Ads' 10% user penalty: https://t.co/bIFtVR6Jfr
- Anime NNs: https://t.co/3nM685Ft8n https://t.co/GRWAA2tqof https://t.co/Ua5Uq4XP9b https://t.co/sgxDdGMQEj
- RL-based poetry generation: https://t.co/FzOQkE4g1G https://t.co/gk5E5vTLJY","2019-09-30 05:47 +0000","10202.0","164.0","0.016075279356988825","2.0","1.0","21.0","13.0","104.0","0.0","23.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178505094943297537","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178505094943297537","@ArtirKel 'How much can the microbiome matter' is interestingly analysed by https://t.co/8KK6Xhk5fA (one of the examples of the benefits of a variance component analysis approach I mention in https://t.co/1mIXMoFVpr )","2019-09-30 03:01 +0000","633.0","23.0","0.036334913112164295","0.0","0.0","6.0","3.0","11.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1178504687357550592","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1178504687357550592","@antonhowes Modern bread manufacturing, using a faster more hygienic chemical process, was advertised as 'alcohol-free' after being invented & winning a RSA silver medal: https://t.co/YfF9VJzNm6

(Found following a German improvement mention in https://t.co/7NPkLUTA2x )","2019-09-30 02:59 +0000","751.0","15.0","0.019973368841544607","0.0","1.0","3.0","3.0","6.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177322401098620928","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177322401098620928","@ArtirKel Oh yeah. Every methodological problem you can think of with human research in psych/economics/medicine? It's worse in animals. The high-powered invasive stuff you can do with animals (like killing them) only partially compensates.","2019-09-26 20:41 +0000","2817.0","36.0","0.012779552715654952","1.0","0.0","9.0","8.0","0.0","0.0","18.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177318366454919169","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177318366454919169","@michael_nielsen Yes, that's the downside... I scan most of my books after reading, so the only books I have fall into the categories of (1) haven't read, and (2) too precious to give away. (If anyone thinks I'm hauling along one of my _Absolute Sandman_ volumes to give away, they're crazy!)","2019-09-26 20:25 +0000","1488.0","15.0","0.010080645161290322","0.0","1.0","2.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177316513407295490","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177316513407295490","@ArtirKel https://t.co/nLS1g8ngIF","2019-09-26 20:18 +0000","2354.0","167.0","0.07094307561597281","1.0","2.0","11.0","12.0","121.0","0.0","20.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177030019580944384","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177030019580944384","@tambourine Yes, admittedly a finetuned model by design loses the original multimodality of GPT-2 (unless your finetuning also incorporated multimodal text to maintain those capabilities, like how Grover or CTRL includes metadata for source). Could switch between multiple models as needed.","2019-09-26 01:19 +0000","160.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177018574898192384","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177018574898192384","@tambourine @alexhern Have you tried using my GPT-2 models finetuned on old poetry? https://t.co/gk5E5wbn8y Or is the idea here to use the baseline TalkToTransformer model to get a more prose-y look?","2019-09-26 00:34 +0000","176.0","10.0","0.056818181818181816","0.0","1.0","1.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177016925777473537","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177016925777473537","@AndreTI The new 'learning preferences' version of GPT-2 might be a good tool for that. You could coax it towards rhyming more, or if you have a rhyming tool which can automatically measure number of rhymes in a text, auto-generate comparisons to force rhymes.","2019-09-26 00:27 +0000","715.0","4.0","0.005594405594405594","0.0","1.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1177009659389124608","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1177009659389124608","@arjendre @epkaufm @TOOEdit Preprint, though, so harder to read. Mirror of the published version: https://t.co/f1YmWfuHNq","2019-09-25 23:59 +0000","648.0","18.0","0.027777777777777776","1.0","0.0","3.0","2.0","12.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176959183977144320","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176959183977144320","Vaguely related: XKCD asks what are the maximally uncontroversial & most popular polled questions? https://t.co/tqi42tGfYF","2019-09-25 20:38 +0000","6494.0","267.0","0.04111487526947952","0.0","0.0","13.0","2.0","241.0","0.0","11.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176618854136635392","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176618854136635392","@alexeyguzey It always shellshocks me to remember that one of my favorite games back then, like _Streets of Rage_ for Sega Genesis, would have cost somewhere ~$100 in 2019 dollars. And then used games were only like half the price! Compare this to the Steam sales...","2019-09-24 22:06 +0000","1285.0","24.0","0.01867704280155642","1.0","0.0","12.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176616410430279680","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176616410430279680","@madebymaze That'd be nice. I assume you just link to a URL which does the equivalent of 'git log https://t.co/ekrpHRyKLw'? (Unfortunately, I found Github to be too restrictive a host to keep my repo there, and don't want to set up my own Git repo hosting.)","2019-09-24 21:56 +0000","168.0","5.0","0.02976190476190476","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176615293130612747","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176615293130612747","@danielwithmusic Oh. No. (I mean, unless people think it looks better? Then it's not a bug it's a feature.)","2019-09-24 21:52 +0000","200.0","4.0","0.02","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176615041904369677","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176615041904369677","@dbabbitt I would have to see it on the page, but I think it's usually darker?","2019-09-24 21:51 +0000","135.0","2.0","0.014814814814814815","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176614807711223815","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176614807711223815","@rubenarslan @mendel_random If you say 'akshully high heritability is consistent with modifiability!' and your example is not, in fact, modifiable in practice, you should consider whether ""one man's modus ponens is another man's modus tollens"" (https://t.co/nWDxH1G9L1)...","2019-09-24 21:50 +0000","1300.0","41.0","0.031538461538461536","2.0","1.0","11.0","2.0","17.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176614390700892160","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176614390700892160","@rubenarslan @mendel_random If we can't point to interventions which do modify things of high heritability, then it seems a fortiori true that not only is the specific case false because public schools do not fix anything they try to fix (such as, say, childhood obesity), we should expect that in general.","2019-09-24 21:48 +0000","1097.0","22.0","0.020054694621695533","2.0","2.0","7.0","8.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176614105102372866","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176614105102372866","@mghwaz I believe they all get inverted, since it's just a CSS filter.","2019-09-24 21:47 +0000","107.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176510979015958529","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176510979015958529","@evansd66 @Richie_Research Using '¨¦lan vital' also has the benefit of connotations of sarcasm and pointing out that '¨¦lan vital' has been debunked and reminding the reader of the ever-present cognitive biases towards anthropomorphism and against reductionism & materialism.","2019-09-24 14:57 +0000","131.0","5.0","0.03816793893129771","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176505193103577089","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176505193103577089","@mendel_random How are those childhood obesity interventions going? Have we solved childhood obesity yet? If not, maybe you need a different example here...","2019-09-24 14:34 +0000","2003.0","80.0","0.0399400898652022","3.0","3.0","21.0","18.0","0.0","0.0","35.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176503275505561600","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176503275505561600","@AndrewCutler13 The problem with her is that we don't know how much work or custom tools or hand-tweaking goes into her, at least in any of the articles I've read. There have been photorealistic CGI or paintings for many decades. Is she '200ms GAN forward pass' or 'SFX team working for a week'?","2019-09-24 14:26 +0000","1420.0","18.0","0.01267605633802817","0.0","2.0","11.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176319224886833152","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176319224886833152","@gitcoin @BlackGirlsCode Are the green squares' total area supposed to reflect the current allocation via the quadratic, or indicate the marginal change from a $1 contrib? It's most easily explained geometrically, I had the impression, so a UI might want to use that.","2019-09-24 02:15 +0000","2261.0","3.0","0.0013268465280849183","0.0","0.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176318030739136512","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176318030739136512","So my phone upgraded to Android 10 and I can finally see native browser dark mode for https://t.co/LC5JQL86wv.

I didn't realize just how much of a difference a higher-DPI display made, especially for the fonts, but it looks razor-sharp and simply beautiful. ?","2019-09-24 02:10 +0000","7057.0","76.0","0.010769448774266686","1.0","3.0","8.0","9.0","44.0","0.0","11.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176316462790782977","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176316462790782977","@digitalviscera 'performative'?","2019-09-24 02:04 +0000","107.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176290697810460673","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176290697810460673","@theshawwn I dunno. Hadn't even thought about code samples. For those, I usually break them up or rewrite them. (That's less of an option for tables or images.)","2019-09-24 00:22 +0000","211.0","3.0","0.014218009478672985","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176283711085731842","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176283711085731842","Borrowed another feature from Tufte-CSS (https://t.co/v7iicCC3cc): full-width images, like full-width tables. Particularly with time-series, they need as much horizontal space as possible. https://t.co/0h0oaXtUm4","2019-09-23 23:54 +0000","5680.0","133.0","0.02341549295774648","0.0","1.0","14.0","4.0","18.0","0.0","10.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","86","86","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176282689806229505","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176282689806229505","Nifty Japanese example: https://t.co/jAwpmZU2Hp From 1920s collection: https://t.co/lTrMqBVrJW Like Butterick on Stempel catalogues: https://t.co/7I88jcN31j 'Just this page. You could set up a whole de?sign prac?tice to?day rip?ping off this one page. You¡¯d be fine for 20 years.'","2019-09-23 23:50 +0000","9815.0","107.0","0.010901681100356598","3.0","3.0","16.0","4.0","68.0","0.0","13.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176262902409584645","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176262902409584645","@TheClarksTale @Scholars_Stage I'm convinced the movies made the difference. Who would read _The Wizard of Oz_ today if not for the movie? HP has a sequence of 8 triple-A Hollywood blockbuster movies which can grow up with kids, as part of an ongoing franchise. (Have you see the HP World crowds?)","2019-09-23 22:31 +0000","195.0","2.0","0.010256410256410256","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176196055202971649","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176196055202971649","@robinhanson re #1: https://t.co/d2lqImToJD has you covered. (And is available in the usual places.)","2019-09-23 18:06 +0000","2018.0","115.0","0.05698711595639247","0.0","1.0","17.0","2.0","91.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176172809481007106","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176172809481007106","@anderssandberg Incidentally, I found that particular archive using the IA site-search operator (`$domain.com/*`), which is covered in my Internet search guide: https://t.co/hnBd6aNVrC (After checking Nordhaus's sites & Google & the journal & the IA of the URL failed, fellback to domain search.)","2019-09-23 16:33 +0000","300.0","3.0","0.01","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176162477635186690","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176162477635186690","@anderssandberg At this point, depositing it *anywhere* but personal websites is an improvement. The IA misses a lot of stuff, but not for fundamental reasons (no reason it couldn't've picked up the original URL, it just didn't). Souping up the IA would go a long way.","2019-09-23 15:52 +0000","302.0","4.0","0.013245033112582781","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176160894184828930","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176160894184828930","@dileeplearning Yes... except none of that did anything. I read about that DARPA project not long ago ( https://t.co/XV7Rwl1sWX ) and was impressed how much more NNs do now than then.

eg the CMU self-driving car couldn't drive across empty asphalt parking lots w/o being confused by sunlight.","2019-09-23 15:46 +0000","164.0","5.0","0.03048780487804878","0.0","0.0","1.0","2.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176153521198157825","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176153521198157825","@anderssandberg (It is dismaying looking at #nordhaus's website in IA and seeing just how many spreadsheets, papers, and other URLs he let die. Thank goodness for the IA.)","2019-09-23 15:17 +0000","278.0","4.0","0.014388489208633094","0.0","1.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176152031003926529","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176152031003926529","@anderssandberg Made a mirror at https://t.co/XLDe3PrIyD","2019-09-23 15:11 +0000","434.0","7.0","0.016129032258064516","0.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1176145721596219393","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1176145721596219393","@anderssandberg https://t.co/cRuYtlw8Zf is the closest I can find.","2019-09-23 14:46 +0000","1011.0","7.0","0.006923837784371909","0.0","2.0","1.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175886843268816903","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175886843268816903","@glenweyl @nielsrosenquist Georgism is definitely very interesting, but I'm not sure he'd really be in the mainstream of economics either then or now (eg he was an autodidact, who never even went to college), or that Chicago could be blamed for a lack of Georges. Are there any other good examples?","2019-09-22 21:37 +0000","678.0","9.0","0.01327433628318584","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","7.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175873684839550977","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175873684839550977","@nielsrosenquist @glenweyl Blaming it on any particular school implies things were better pre-school. What exciting or revolutionary uses of IT-like tech or thinking in economics do you associate with pre-Chicago-school economists, that the Chicago school killed?","2019-09-22 20:45 +0000","396.0","5.0","0.012626262626262626","0.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175811145728516096","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175811145728516096","@carlzimmer If we wildly exaggerate and compare some gardening research prototypes not working to tens of thousands of people receiving falsified medical test results, then yeah, sure, I can see how it sounds a bit like Theranos.","2019-09-22 16:36 +0000","1203.0","12.0","0.00997506234413965","0.0","0.0","5.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175785726904078337","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175785726904078337","@robinhanson https://t.co/zsvs4LxxpT Vizio seems to think it's a decent chunk of money over the lifetime of a TV and its multiple watchers, especially in comparison to existing margins (6%, so $60 of your example).","2019-09-22 14:55 +0000","1633.0","34.0","0.020820575627679118","0.0","1.0","9.0","2.0","10.0","0.0","12.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175532737953980420","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175532737953980420","@qntm Sounds repetitive.","2019-09-21 22:10 +0000","311.0","5.0","0.01607717041800643","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175495812941516805","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175495812941516805","@SilverVVulpes Don't be silly. We know the IAT must be false because no physical laws supervene on the operation of the mind! ?","2019-09-21 19:43 +0000","714.0","9.0","0.012605042016806723","0.0","0.0","7.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175438595378831360","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175438595378831360","@snoreydude @jonathanstray @RokoMijicUK That graph shows little net change over 'the last two decades', doesn't take into account hedonics or transfers or any kind of progress ('income'), and as I already pointed out, 'households' are not even a constant unit in the first place.","2019-09-21 15:56 +0000","196.0","8.0","0.04081632653061224","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175419583467073536","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175419583467073536","@EllieAsksWhy While you're there, maybe see if the ALE bug recently found works on an arcade machine: https://t.co/iPs0MrTX1Z","2019-09-21 14:40 +0000","672.0","11.0","0.01636904761904762","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","8.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175418722615472133","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175418722615472133","@Ada_Palmer Plus to permanently store specific points in text files, 'bookmarks': https://t.co/LFJPRxNohR

Another thing I do is have Emacs automatically syntax highlight in bright red some keywords like 'TODO', to make them hard to miss while reviewing.","2019-09-21 14:37 +0000","362.0","2.0","0.0055248618784530384","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175418394486738944","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175418394486738944","@Ada_Palmer In Emacs, you can 'set the point' and then pop it to return. So you are writing, realize something, hit `C-space C-space`, go off to wherever, and when you're done, hit `C-u C-space` to pop back, recursively: https://t.co/4EtSQs7ETe & storable: https://t.co/8o5Q7SffBi","2019-09-21 14:35 +0000","961.0","3.0","0.003121748178980229","0.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175417415041245192","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175417415041245192","@SQLGene That's very close to the linguistics idea of a 'graded reader': which attempts to sort texts by used words to increase vocab as slowly as possible. https://t.co/hQkIqEwI2K https://t.co/SiXjnmj7IG https://t.co/Ty3qgMyYcb","2019-09-21 14:32 +0000","160.0","6.0","0.0375","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175243152166477824","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175243152166477824","@hbarovertwo So, tags? Lots of work on multi-label classification with NNs.","2019-09-21 02:59 +0000","136.0","1.0","0.007352941176470588","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175160907128872961","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175160907128872961","@Gary_Lewis1 @psforscher That, however, didn't stop people from continuing to run loads of candidate-gene studies long after and looking under the lamp post, so to speak. The question is, what institutional or economic incentives or other factors made it *actually* happen, in the real world?","2019-09-20 21:32 +0000","184.0","10.0","0.05434782608695652","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175160366545952768","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175160366545952768","@seanpmackinnon Ah. Well, glad to help.","2019-09-20 21:30 +0000","130.0","3.0","0.023076923076923078","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175160098328629248","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175160098328629248","@pulkomandy @shauna_gm @sterlingcrispin Indeed. And so... As I said. MIT is 'compatible' with proprietary fully-closed licenses. So 'compatibility' is a very poor criterion.","2019-09-20 21:29 +0000","168.0","2.0","0.011904761904761904","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175159842073468929","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175159842073468929","@hbarovertwo (Danbooru2018 is a 365k-label tagging problem.)","2019-09-20 21:28 +0000","134.0","1.0","0.007462686567164179","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175100525198610432","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175100525198610432","@pulkomandy @shauna_gm @sterlingcrispin That's not how the MIT license works at all. It's not even per-file, to begin with, and including a copy of the license itself doesn't mean all derivative works are also MIT licensed. That's the entire point of the *GPL* -  enforcing that because MIT and BSD don't.","2019-09-20 17:32 +0000","221.0","3.0","0.013574660633484163","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175087878474469378","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175087878474469378","@pulkomandy @shauna_gm @sterlingcrispin No, it only requires that a license *notice* be included. The code can be modified and all the new derived versions have additional copyrights, which can be proprietary. That's what it means to not be viral. Good luck 'extracting' some proprietary code long ago based on MIT code.","2019-09-20 16:42 +0000","238.0","3.0","0.012605042016806723","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175087320170733573","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175087320170733573","@yoavgo @sebastien_wood @catherineols Yes, it is different: an assembly line is way more expensive to shut down, and harder to shift workers to other tasks, than ML annotation. I'm not sure that's the point you wanted to make, though.","2019-09-20 16:40 +0000","727.0","6.0","0.008253094910591471","0.0","2.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175076807286165506","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175076807286165506","@pulkomandy @shauna_gm @sterlingcrispin I'm not sure that argument shows what you think it does. MIT licensed code is 'compatible' even with fully proprietary patent-encumbered code (because you can relicense & close MIT stuff). Does that mean fully proprietary patent-encumbered code is ""better"" than open source code?","2019-09-20 15:58 +0000","467.0","4.0","0.008565310492505354","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175068514157305856","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175068514157305856","@rjhaier I've always wanted to read an insider account of how things like SSGAC and UKBB happen. From the outside, it's mysterious how things go right for once.","2019-09-20 15:25 +0000","704.0","7.0","0.009943181818181818","0.0","0.0","5.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175066709880975361","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175066709880975361","@yoavgo @sebastien_wood @catherineols That would depend on how they are being paid. And did Toyota start paying its workers *less* when it became *more* successful due to things like the andon...?","2019-09-20 15:18 +0000","576.0","6.0","0.010416666666666666","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1175039032834822145","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1175039032834822145","@yoavgo @sebastien_wood @catherineols They don't have to read increasingly disturbing machine-generated smut.","2019-09-20 13:28 +0000","657.0","3.0","0.0045662100456621","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174886154564460545","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174886154564460545","@seanpmackinnon Er, why do you have to change your monitor resolution for any reason? What does that do that the usual R method of saving images with specific resolution/size like 'png(file=""foo.png"", width = 580, height = 600); foo; https://t.co/zG7YGjBKNr()' doesn't do?","2019-09-20 03:21 +0000","817.0","3.0","0.0036719706242350062","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174878205330755589","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174878205330755589","@sebastien_wood @catherineols In this context, like an assembly line, it'd just stop. That would avoid wasting ratings until the researchers have a chance to sanity-check everything. In other contexts, perhaps there would be a fallback to a baseline model or reverting to an older model.","2019-09-20 02:49 +0000","799.0","6.0","0.007509386733416771","0.0","1.0","3.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174874525084868608","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174874525084868608","@sebastien_wood @catherineols Literally perversely correct behavior.

But no, an 'Andon cord' lets any factory worker stop the whole assembly line. So here it would be a big red button any of the https://t.co/thrJqXR55t workers could push to stop training/rating if it starts looking really weird/bad.","2019-09-20 02:34 +0000","670.0","9.0","0.013432835820895522","0.0","1.0","1.0","2.0","3.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174847976335925248","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174847976335925248","@the8472 His summary is that there doesn't seem to be any way to lay it out correctly but to insert stuff and check, and batching wouldn't be doable in any obvious way he knows of.","2019-09-20 00:49 +0000","161.0","1.0","0.006211180124223602","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174845112016429057","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174845112016429057","@the8472 I'm afraid I'm almost totally ignorant of JS, especially layout/DOM stuff, but I'll forward your comments to Obormot and maybe he'll have some ideas on optimizing it.","2019-09-20 00:37 +0000","172.0","1.0","0.005813953488372093","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174844465527361537","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174844465527361537","@hbarovertwo I don't read a ton about unsupervised learning because it seems like something of a minefield and at least for Danbooru2018, it'd be semi-supervised learning (so something like MixMatch ought to work brilliantly).","2019-09-20 00:35 +0000","135.0","3.0","0.022222222222222223","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174792830402908160","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174792830402908160","@AndreTI @OpenAI I dunno about that. How do you train that adversarial Transformer? By distinguishing real/fake? Even assuming you have the relevant corpus, then that's just a GAN, and those don't work well for sequences like text.","2019-09-19 21:10 +0000","3334.0","5.0","0.0014997000599880025","0.0","1.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174792429427445764","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174792429427445764","@mja So? The global average across all traits for c^2 using ACE in Polderman et al 2015 is still only 0.17: https://t.co/nlr3JeQW9H","2019-09-19 21:08 +0000","531.0","2.0","0.003766478342749529","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174730405125263362","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174730405125263362","@LeoBman @DrLukeOR Yes, a bit of reinventing the wheel here. Of course people have wondered if there's serious overfitting... But there's not - not even on MNIST! eg https://t.co/HUPkmu6sJx https://t.co/uOIPINRb6D https://t.co/5Kd69tPHPn https://t.co/YxXuqBm8Lb https://t.co/pCkS03fC3q","2019-09-19 17:02 +0000","3192.0","234.0","0.07330827067669173","2.0","0.0","27.0","8.0","188.0","0.0","9.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174718269636431878","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174718269636431878","@ludwigschubert @font https://t.co/ngElxWNTdZ","2019-09-19 16:13 +0000","188.0","3.0","0.015957446808510637","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","3","3","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174717286940327937","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174717286940327937","@OpenAI ????????.

Excited to see if the code is usable for improving poetry generation.","2019-09-19 16:10 +0000","5743.0","53.0","0.009228626153578268","0.0","1.0","17.0","22.0","0.0","0.0","13.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174702994065186816","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174702994065186816","@i_contemplate_ I don't know about that. Vaping was the great hope for legacy tobacco to switch into a healthy but still profitable and growing niche. Tobacco isn't exactly a growth industry (at least in the first world).","2019-09-19 15:13 +0000","160.0","2.0","0.0125","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174693312739106817","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174693312739106817","@i_contemplate_ The Baptists I see, the usual anti-smoking advocates, but who are the bootleggers? Juul and the legacy tobacco companies are being cutoff at the knees by *nicotine* bans, and the marijuana people are all fly-by-nights or illegal or way too tiny to be doing this lobbying.","2019-09-19 14:34 +0000","220.0","3.0","0.013636363636363636","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174690145527902208","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174690145527902208","@i_contemplate_ The panic is very puzzling. It's obviously the marijuana stuff, and all the coverage admits it doesn't even have anything to do with regular legal nicotine vaping fluid (as should be obvious since if it'd hospitalize or kill you within weeks, that'd've happened decades ago!).","2019-09-19 14:22 +0000","439.0","8.0","0.018223234624145785","2.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174499476855304192","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174499476855304192","@XiXiDu https://t.co/N59xI7jBD7","2019-09-19 01:44 +0000","397.0","12.0","0.030226700251889168","1.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","8.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174496445677867010","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174496445677867010","@Miles_Brundage Wait, before you take off - https://t.co/unLSvxh5Y0 !","2019-09-19 01:32 +0000","750.0","58.0","0.07733333333333334","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","56.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174475629477212160","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174475629477212160","@ludwigschubert Oh, come to think of it, I actually did that too. I added to the compilation script a sed call to prefix in 'font-display: swap;' to the '@font-families' in the MathJax-generated CSS.

(I regret nothing.)","2019-09-19 00:09 +0000","275.0","1.0","0.0036363636363636364","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174450286649384960","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174450286649384960","@ludwigschubert Anyway! Between that and upgrading to Cloudflare Pro, I should've roughly halved initial load time for mobile users, especially ones outside the USA.","2019-09-18 22:29 +0000","267.0","3.0","0.011235955056179775","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174450064552542210","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174450064552542210","@ludwigschubert Part of the problem is that the usual web optimization guides (*cough* Google Pagespeed's blocking-CSS recommendations *cough*) don't even mention this is possible. I assumed no one would resort to these crazy JS hacks if there was any remotely plausible option. Apparently not.","2019-09-18 22:28 +0000","212.0","3.0","0.014150943396226415","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174394916333641728","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174394916333641728","@janerikstrasser @gdb @lt0gt @ilyasut I was definitely told it was by Nick when I was there, but maybe it got garbled along the way: he did the cover but not the original drawing, or something like that. (Many leprechauns are like that in dropping complexity & simplifying.)","2019-09-18 18:49 +0000","105.0","3.0","0.02857142857142857","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174386292886515713","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174386292886515713","@janerikstrasser @gdb @lt0gt @ilyasut Most biological owls aren't made out of rivets, nor inhabit forests made out of computer code. Nor would it make any thematic sense for a symbol of *wisdom* in a book about machine intelligence to then be biological. (Possibly the original artwork makes this clearer in person.)","2019-09-18 18:14 +0000","156.0","2.0","0.01282051282051282","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174376675573927936","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174376675573927936","@gdb @lt0gt @ilyasut Many people have hidden talents. Did you know Nick Bostrom drew that mechanical owl on the cover of _Superintelligence_? I thought it was a great cover, and had no idea Nick did it until I saw it hanging in the FHI offices.","2019-09-18 17:36 +0000","1578.0","32.0","0.020278833967046894","0.0","2.0","18.0","7.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174294570307346436","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174294570307346436","@mattparlmer I think the general attitude there is ""it may not be legal for me to be hosting it, and anyway, the journals & libraries have copies of anything *real* or *important*, also I am way too busy trying to not perish by publishing to think about the long run of said publishing"".","2019-09-18 12:10 +0000","253.0","5.0","0.019762845849802372","0.0","0.0","3.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174140778278465536","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174140778278465536","@Duderichy One of these days. I've got too much to read and write to check out rando's websites.","2019-09-18 01:59 +0000","138.0","4.0","0.028985507246376812","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174136288619966465","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174136288619966465","Optimization: I always assumed that to 'lazy load' CSS & avoid blocking, you had to use insane JS hacks (like Google wants). You couldn't just stick CSS at the bottom of a page like JS. TIL: this is explicitly allowed by the spec? https://t.co/l2JkqbP611 https://t.co/w2A6YSN3fY","2019-09-18 01:41 +0000","7379.0","72.0","0.009757419704567014","0.0","2.0","8.0","0.0","47.0","0.0","15.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174130726222139394","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174130726222139394","@TeaGeeGeePea @gcochran99 @RokoMijicUK @KirkegaardEmil Schizophrenia is interesting because it's also now a confirmed fitness hit, but we do see SCZ pop up all the time in selective sweeps, with consistent genetic correlations across cohorts. So why SCZ? Maybe 'background selection' drags up SCZ mutation load! https://t.co/D79rbA205k","2019-09-18 01:19 +0000","390.0","12.0","0.03076923076923077","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","6.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174118740289576960","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174118740289576960","@gcochran99 @RokoMijicUK @KirkegaardEmil Sure, but I was pointing out what selection gets you on that remaining part of the variance which does seem to be genetic (and is captured in the current PGS). No reason to think the PGS is a complete fluke and not tagging any causal variants.","2019-09-18 00:31 +0000","600.0","9.0","0.015","0.0","0.0","3.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174113174397865985","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174113174397865985","@M_PF Is it the moustache, or the chinfur?","2019-09-18 00:09 +0000","520.0","3.0","0.0057692307692307696","0.0","0.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174102224001257472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174102224001257472","@mattparlmer 'Decay'? That's how it's always been on the Internet, for everything.","2019-09-17 23:25 +0000","988.0","13.0","0.013157894736842105","0.0","1.0","7.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174095361004244993","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174095361004244993","@mark_riedl It is known.

(But I will never get tired of watching GIFs of hilarious AI exploits which I can add to my list.)","2019-09-17 22:58 +0000","750.0","11.0","0.014666666666666666","0.0","0.0","6.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174090218804318208","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174090218804318208","@EvaMonkey Fascinating! So we finally have a primary source confirming the damaged/missing leg. This also seems to be different from the AERA 08/31/1998 Asahi interview which was supposedly the source of that. Looks like this is much more detailed, too.","2019-09-17 22:38 +0000","571.0","2.0","0.0035026269702276708","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174082271671988224","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174082271671988224","@rubenarslan @annemscheel @WiringTheBrain @MarcusMunafo @StuartJRitchie @ent3c @AllardThuriot ""Forget it, Jake. It's Chinatown.""

See the talk page.","2019-09-17 22:06 +0000","284.0","6.0","0.02112676056338028","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174064606358179840","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174064606358179840","@vectorgen @XiXiDu Well, if you didn't know about it, maybe it refers to someone else then! Are there ????? critiques we should know about?","2019-09-17 20:56 +0000","108.0","2.0","0.018518518518518517","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174056332196028416","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174056332196028416","@XiXiDu I noticed the editorial warning at the bottom of the paper, which is unusual. I assume it refers to https://t.co/KdXaiTcMdU","2019-09-17 20:23 +0000","859.0","11.0","0.012805587892898719","1.0","2.0","4.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174047256099676160","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174047256099676160","@michael_nielsen @internetarchive I've been getting sporadic issues myself, but typically waiting and reloading will get me in.","2019-09-17 19:47 +0000","1414.0","7.0","0.0049504950495049506","0.0","0.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1174035797294682119","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1174035797294682119","@rubenarslan @WiringTheBrain @StuartJRitchie @ent3c How are machine-scorings of maze performances not 'blinded'? Even Rosenthal in his expectancy book advocates using automated scoring to reduce bias.","2019-09-17 19:02 +0000","427.0","5.0","0.0117096018735363","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173760111107616768","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173760111107616768","@C_Harwick @biorxivpreprint @CrossrefOrg @theshawwn /sigh. The mobile & Chrome & Firefox bugs have proven to be intractable. The transforms part of the CSS spec is completely bizarre and apparently both Chrome *and* Firefox implement it in subtly broken ways.

We've reverted to the last Aug version, sacrificing sections.","2019-09-17 00:46 +0000","249.0","7.0","0.028112449799196786","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173748512317759490","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173748512317759490","@gojomo Just found the cover for the rerelease of _A Mind Forever Voyaging_: https://t.co/uJNaev9rLc","2019-09-17 00:00 +0000","409.0","8.0","0.019559902200488997","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173744606401503233","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173744606401503233","@jackinlondon @Of_Of_Of_Of_Of @ESYudkowsky Exact solutions are often mystifying and hard to understand. This was perhaps first noticed in chess endgame databases ( https://t.co/rsp4yWWNAL ): they are optimal by construction and can't be beaten, but weeeird. I don't intuit the timing of many bets in mugging games.","2019-09-16 23:44 +0000","174.0","4.0","0.022988505747126436","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173736634661113858","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173736634661113858","@ESYudkowsky So we have a more optimized version which can evaluate as deep as 74 rounds: https://t.co/yGs1xSHqbW Trying to run it on some AWS high-mem spot instances to go deeper, but it has none, it says.

Infuriating. It is my right as an American to rent 4TB of RAM for $8 whenever I want!","2019-09-16 23:13 +0000","2026.0","40.0","0.019743336623889437","0.0","0.0","14.0","3.0","17.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173731350140137472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173731350140137472","@mattblaze @matthew_d_green Given the way the NSA handmedowns stuff to the DEA sometimes, one day that may be true - ??? ???? ???'?? ?? ?????!","2019-09-16 22:52 +0000","2968.0","6.0","0.0020215633423180594","0.0","0.0","2.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173607486961725440","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173607486961725440","@1hplovecraft @torinmccabe @themightypuck @KirkegaardEmil (Meehl discusses this nicely for psychology, but Derek Lowe has noted this also happens in chemistry sometimes; some areas of research just 'mysteriously' stop being done. Nobody ever refutes it formally, but people get the word.)","2019-09-16 14:40 +0000","289.0","3.0","0.010380622837370242","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173606029826887680","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173606029826887680","@1hplovecraft @torinmccabe @themightypuck @KirkegaardEmil You should also remember that in the soft sciences, nothing ever gets refuted; like old soldiers, they just fade away. The lack of direct replications or extensions shows (pace the Many Labs PMs) that the field knew perfectly well it's extremely dubious.","2019-09-16 14:34 +0000","330.0","7.0","0.021212121212121213","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173605685965275136","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173605685965275136","@1hplovecraft @torinmccabe @themightypuck @KirkegaardEmil You could, I've seen some cool ML-based camera-tracking systems on Biorxiv, and you can genotype each mouse to trace exact ancestry etc. But you couldn't get funds for it because it'd be 'unethical', as one person who tried told me the IRB killed their attempt.","2019-09-16 14:32 +0000","558.0","1.0","0.0017921146953405018","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173430027188396032","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173430027188396032","@KirkegaardEmil Still a cute finding. Might not be huge here, but 'indifference of the indicator'. A trace of the big C.","2019-09-16 02:54 +0000","653.0","7.0","0.010719754977029096","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173423728946028544","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173423728946028544","@torinmccabe @themightypuck @KirkegaardEmil It's those too.","2019-09-16 02:29 +0000","499.0","4.0","0.008016032064128256","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173405368724152322","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173405368724152322","@brogram_ @Kartikitrak @paulg @peterthiel @zaoyang @vkhosla @rabois @jordanbpeterson @patrickc @jtoomim @demishassabis @balajis @sentientist @foundmyfitness @RayDalio @eladgil Uh oh. As an outlier, by regression to the mean, that suggests I don't deserve to be in the list and am included due to sampling error!","2019-09-16 01:16 +0000","499.0","9.0","0.018036072144288578","0.0","1.0","2.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173405143561379841","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173405143561379841","@ctphoenix Oh no, GPT-2 repeats a ton. And image models like PixelRNN or PixelCNN are autoregressive image prediction/generation, so it seems like DeepDream-like tesselating ought to be possible. So I wonder why the image models avoid repeating 'words' while LMs always are vulnerable.","2019-09-16 01:16 +0000","115.0","1.0","0.008695652173913044","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173332317001195528","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173332317001195528","@the8472 That's a big enough image, with enough annotations, that it would be quite a challenge for any existing CNN architectures. Definitely not going to get good performance with a single pass, I suspect.","2019-09-15 20:26 +0000","87.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173290205853421571","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173290205853421571","@ctphoenix Another idle question about likelihood losses: all likelihood-trained text sequence NNs fall into repetition very easily. So why don't we ever seem to see image likelihood models like Glow or PixelCNN etc have failure modes like tessellating dog heads in an image?","2019-09-15 17:39 +0000","130.0","2.0","0.015384615384615385","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1173273816761602051","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1173273816761602051","@RichardWiseman @KPUNews Caroline Watt has provided photos which I've cleaned up into PDFs:

- ""Models of control and control of bias"" https://t.co/uSo7EYmplM
- EJP editorial https://t.co/WNZoExfaGk 
- ""On Publication Policy Regarding Non-Significant Results"" https://t.co/FcCqzVA6XT","2019-09-15 16:34 +0000","417.0","5.0","0.011990407673860911","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172978315717689344","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172978315717689344","@Scientific_Bird @SilverVVulpes @hsu_steve Hm. https://t.co/Rb377ewM56 ? Alternative: https://t.co/vzyK1FsbDu","2019-09-14 20:59 +0000","460.0","18.0","0.0391304347826087","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","15.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172942396281315335","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172942396281315335","@Meaningness Yes, and lots of possibilities for small-scale researchers too. For example, why not take all the text adventure games and do imitation learning on automatically-generated or recorded game trajectories and learn the dynamics?","2019-09-14 18:37 +0000","847.0","5.0","0.0059031877213695395","0.0","0.0","3.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172941201131147264","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172941201131147264","@Meaningness I'm looking forward to more progress on LMs and integrating with memories and/or knowledge databases. It'll open up entirely new kinds of text adventure games, and in particular, with enough world modeling, create a DM-in-a-pocket.","2019-09-14 18:32 +0000","866.0","9.0","0.010392609699769052","0.0","1.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172908553440583682","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172908553440583682","@FelixThoemmes But muh heterogeneity and WEIRD!","2019-09-14 16:22 +0000","251.0","5.0","0.0199203187250996","0.0","0.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172879202519080960","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172879202519080960","@EileenOrmsby So my theory is that much of the humor of groin shots is a 'there but for the grace of God' effect.","2019-09-14 14:26 +0000","267.0","7.0","0.026217228464419477","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172878983517679616","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172878983517679616","@EileenOrmsby The thing about getting hit in the nuts is that 95% of the time, it hardly hurts; then the 5% is the worst agony one's ever experienced. From being kicked in TKD, I'd say it's worse than having my 4 wisdom teeth out. (I quickly developed Zen master levels of groin protection.)","2019-09-14 14:25 +0000","904.0","8.0","0.008849557522123894","0.0","1.0","2.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172718732092891137","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172718732092891137","It makes even more sense to do this for Bitcoin, so I'm happy I finally got that implemented. It'll be really useful on my Silk Road page and a few others. https://t.co/yqENkuR43X","2019-09-14 03:48 +0000","9066.0","311.0","0.034303992940657405","0.0","0.0","12.0","4.0","20.0","0.0","49.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","226","226","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172681927964471297","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172681927964471297","@dhruvbansal @clarkmoody @danheld @bquittem @TuurDemeester @BuckPerley @MartyBent @TaylorPearsonMe @RyanTheGentry Maybe I am missing something, but why does there need to be any conflict between Bitcoin and currencies localized elsewhere? Atomic swaps already exist and neuter any possible conflict. Going to Earth? Swap some Muskcoins for Bitcoins. Attacks get factored into timelock margins.","2019-09-14 01:22 +0000","684.0","12.0","0.017543859649122806","0.0","1.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172673712665088000","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172673712665088000","@tonysheng Mirror of the 2nd: https://t.co/YgYALHPjU0","2019-09-14 00:49 +0000","213.0","6.0","0.028169014084507043","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172652818077011968","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172652818077011968","@Aceinmysleeve1 @robinhanson As required by McKean's law...","2019-09-13 23:26 +0000","574.0","3.0","0.005226480836236934","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172625872874082305","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172625872874082305","@ntborgen @AmirSariaslan Not sure I follow the argument here. If any collider bias here is attenuating the relationship (rather than reversing it), then surely that makes finding a relationship even stronger evidence for there being a (larger) causal effect, and thus justification for a ban?","2019-09-13 21:39 +0000","506.0","4.0","0.007905138339920948","0.0","1.0","1.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172623286217449472","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172623286217449472","@hsu_steve Cow breeding estimate of limits to selection I don't think you've mentioned before: even optimizing just one chromosome's haplotypes yields +1-2SD: https://t.co/yp4JWsla39 Total lower bound, 36SD; expected, 97SD; upper bound: 436SD. https://t.co/WcP9T1tbV7","2019-09-13 21:29 +0000","1392.0","101.0","0.07255747126436782","2.0","1.0","12.0","12.0","17.0","0.0","18.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","39","39","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172577877491146753","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172577877491146753","@eiaine @alt_kia You didn't even get past the customer service reps; good simjackers do. A hacker who doxed me worked his way up to internal chatrooms with the ISP's sysadmins to get info on my IP, & noted to me that it would have been trivial to simjack me. (I removed all SMS 2FA the next day.)","2019-09-13 18:28 +0000","792.0","7.0","0.008838383838383838","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","5.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172538550073663488","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172538550073663488","@SilverVVulpes We're not exactly talking about Standard Model predictions here, after all...","2019-09-13 15:52 +0000","244.0","4.0","0.01639344262295082","0.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172538383446544384","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172538383446544384","@SilverVVulpes Sure but 'some guys once got some fudge factors wrong in multiplying a bunch of numbers to estimate something about small weird asteroids they couldn't observe anything about' is not that much of a stretch. Sure, maybe they were a couple of OOMs off. Why not?","2019-09-13 15:51 +0000","1290.0","11.0","0.008527131782945736","0.0","2.0","5.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172536147458842629","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172536147458842629","@SilverVVulpes One man's modus ponens... Combined with the Great Silence, a second observation so quickly proves it's not aliens.","2019-09-13 15:42 +0000","1199.0","22.0","0.01834862385321101","0.0","1.0","18.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172335123175313408","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172335123175313408","@parisreview Seems to be working now, thanks.","2019-09-13 02:24 +0000","562.0","1.0","0.0017793594306049821","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172323753759395842","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172323753759395842","@Of_Of_Of_Of_Of @ESYudkowsky Well, if your sensibility is that refined and delicate, maybe just read https://t.co/IFHubMrGOa and then do the obvious extension to Pascal's mugging.","2019-09-13 01:38 +0000","408.0","30.0","0.07352941176470588","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","24.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172320531414044674","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172320531414044674","@ESYudkowsky Some work on solving Pascal's mugging: https://t.co/KeKDHwObJj","2019-09-13 01:26 +0000","3616.0","128.0","0.035398230088495575","1.0","2.0","13.0","7.0","99.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172311153365569536","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172311153365569536","@RichardWiseman @KPUNews Thanks.","2019-09-13 00:48 +0000","660.0","1.0","0.0015151515151515152","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172231251413143552","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172231251413143552","@ABM_paints @JJ_Emerson Of course you can.","2019-09-12 19:31 +0000","370.0","2.0","0.005405405405405406","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172204764525989888","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172204764525989888","@ABM_paints @JJ_Emerson A snowbank of snow and ice, as described, is not a good place to get liquid water. Where's all that extra heat going to come from?","2019-09-12 17:46 +0000","405.0","1.0","0.0024691358024691358","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172190144272707584","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172190144272707584","@ABM_paints @JJ_Emerson Where was Freuchen going to get a bucket of pure liquid water when he was freezing to death?","2019-09-12 16:48 +0000","392.0","3.0","0.007653061224489796","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172189907495862272","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172189907495862272","@ArtirKel @rubenarslan @GordPennycook @dingding_peng Yes, this is done sometimes by meta-analysts (figuring out the optimal set of trials for a given n or budget), although more typically the quantity being minimized is something like posterior predictive intervals or total variance than direct decision analysis.","2019-09-12 16:47 +0000","736.0","5.0","0.006793478260869565","0.0","2.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172187190635446272","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172187190635446272","@ArtirKel @rubenarslan @GordPennycook @dingding_peng On the other hand, heterogeneity & moderators, plus other useful things like quantifying bias in the field.","2019-09-12 16:36 +0000","479.0","5.0","0.010438413361169102","0.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1172169634222628865","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1172169634222628865","@randomuserbr @paulg ""regression to the mean"" is also a phrase sorely needed in this NYT article.","2019-09-12 15:26 +0000","433.0","10.0","0.023094688221709007","0.0","0.0","2.0","6.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171966908956119042","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171966908956119042","@hardmaru @nature @schmidhubered ""...collect more citations than the most influential founders of their field"" ?","2019-09-12 02:00 +0000","1850.0","11.0","0.005945945945945946","0.0","2.0","2.0","5.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171942518180724736","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171942518180724736","@polyaletheia @JJ_Emerson Unfairly, I thought. In a world in which https://t.co/GSS4CXNY1K exists, can we really dismiss poo-chisels or poo-knives just because one group of researchers couldn't replicate on their first try? (Would that be convincing for, say, stone knapping?)","2019-09-12 00:24 +0000","5873.0","60.0","0.01021624382768602","0.0","2.0","22.0","6.0","24.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171903211067838464","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171903211067838464","@JJ_Emerson In the Inuits' defense, their use of frozen feces was also replicated by Peter Freuchen, who chipped his way out of an ice trap with a poo-chisel: https://t.co/s3O8z2rTvL","2019-09-11 21:47 +0000","7979.0","121.0","0.015164807620002507","1.0","4.0","24.0","5.0","74.0","0.0","13.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171890960051187712","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171890960051187712","@RokoMijicUK @XiXiDu Mentally, we live in a Minecraft world.","2019-09-11 20:59 +0000","136.0","2.0","0.014705882352941176","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171890716039163904","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171890716039163904","@minimaxir @RichardSocher Sure, I was expecting to have to use CPU mode. But I was trying to figure out if it was yet another error in getting it running or an issue with CPU mode itself. Hard to tell since it might've been OOMing on GPU before it hit whatever issue I was having on CPU. Gave up after that","2019-09-11 20:58 +0000","317.0","1.0","0.0031545741324921135","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171888497726283776","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171888497726283776","@minimaxir @RichardSocher I don't think so. With the patch, I get 'tf does not exist' errors. Without the patch on GPU (1080ti/11GB), I get OOMs; and without the patch on CPU, I eventually get entirely other errors.","2019-09-11 20:49 +0000","468.0","3.0","0.00641025641025641","0.0","1.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171869124613591040","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171869124613591040","@RichardSocher For anyone getting 'invalid_grant: Bad Request' errors downloading the models, remember that gsutil credentials do expire so you may need to 'gcloud auth login' again...","2019-09-11 19:32 +0000","4215.0","23.0","0.005456702253855279","0.0","0.0","12.0","10.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171863290873548800","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171863290873548800","@parisreview Website bug: ""Moxomenon"" https://t.co/VkC2ATsl9e seems to be missing pg166-170 from the print edition. The web edition just stops at ""My whole life but with hands like this my repertoire"". (Other things like ""Why Visit America"" in the same issue seem fine online.)","2019-09-11 19:09 +0000","794.0","6.0","0.007556675062972292","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","3.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171781373771886592","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171781373771886592","@Artbreeder It seems to be working now. Great! Now all I want for Christmas are the BigGAN & StyleGAN anime models... ?","2019-09-11 13:43 +0000","772.0","7.0","0.009067357512953367","0.0","0.0","5.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171780870824439808","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171780870824439808","@KirkegaardEmil Evolution is hard: https://t.co/uL6YIdvhvz

I wonder if Meehl would've found abiogenesis etc easier to accept if he had available more computational examples of creativity/evolution like https://t.co/5vyV9Yj3yE https://t.co/PoEeidcPSY","2019-09-11 13:41 +0000","706.0","18.0","0.025495750708215296","0.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","8.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171605996931866624","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171605996931866624","@briantemerowski @jjding99 Yes, and I was like the 7th person, at most, to generate poetry snippets with GPT-2 too... The only 'first' I could claim was finetuning/retraining. AFAIK, everyone else was using prompts with the raw model, they didn't retrain (because nshepperd's codebase didn't exist).","2019-09-11 02:06 +0000","744.0","9.0","0.012096774193548387","0.0","0.0","5.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171559036740919301","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171559036740919301","@RichardWiseman @KPUNews Amazing find. Amused that the rate of significance drops just like in RRs elsewhere - 'parapsychology, the control group for science' indeed...

Do you have copies of the 2 Johnson articles proposing RRs? EJP digitized archives don't go nearly that far back, it seems.","2019-09-10 23:00 +0000","242.0","9.0","0.0371900826446281","0.0","1.0","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","6.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171548891147317249","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171548891147317249","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson Skeptical, & envious. Particularly in the _Paris Review_ interviews, a lot of them reply to the work habits question by expressing the wish to be able to work long regular hours, but say they just can't do more than the usual 3-4 hours a day or work at more than irregular times.","2019-09-10 22:19 +0000","228.0","4.0","0.017543859649122806","0.0","0.0","4.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171548271841558528","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171548271841558528","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson My point there is that even people who are stereotyped as intelligence supremacists don't exhibit the caricature Hanson claims is modal. The emphasis on energy is one shared by layman and researcher alike, and has been since Galton started discussing the psychology of eminence.","2019-09-10 22:17 +0000","290.0","2.0","0.006896551724137931","0.0","1.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171547853946335234","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171547853946335234","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson None of them say anything absurd like 'Oh yeah, you can totally work 20 hours a day like Danielle Steele if you just try really hard.' (I think Steele must be a short-sleeper, incidentally, she fits the profile perfectly.)","2019-09-10 22:15 +0000","127.0","2.0","0.015748031496062992","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171547661620666368","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171547661620666368","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson The attitude most take is that all you can do is make the most of however many hours a day you get, and arrange your habits and do your best to seize the writing hours. Many are skeptical of anyone claiming to work many hours.","2019-09-10 22:15 +0000","257.0","6.0","0.023346303501945526","0.0","2.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171547216667992064","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171547216667992064","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson For example, I've been reading through ~400 interviews with successful writers so far for https://t.co/cCOh7I4o7P . Many emphasize the importance of hard work. I can think of very few who say anything like 'it's easy to work harder! Just use the ""try harder"", Luke!'","2019-09-10 22:13 +0000","210.0","13.0","0.06190476190476191","0.0","1.0","7.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171544682066796545","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171544682066796545","@RealtimeAI @robinhanson I don't agree with that either. You can find lots of people, including such minor obscure figures as Francis Galton or Arthur Jensen, who don't say that in discussing the joint necessity of energy and intelligence in great achievement.","2019-09-10 22:03 +0000","430.0","8.0","0.018604651162790697","0.0","3.0","3.0","0.0","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171505659214364678","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171505659214364678","@DegenRolf Mirror: https://t.co/8DJqXJ9uTP","2019-09-10 19:28 +0000","1226.0","39.0","0.03181076672104405","0.0","2.0","5.0","0.0","22.0","0.0","10.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171493320750583819","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171493320750583819","@robinhanson Disagree. We hear tons about putting in long hours, being super hardworking, skipping sleep, 'sweat equity', getting up at 4AM to do email etc, in coverage of both science and business, to the point of backlashes where people boast about only working 40 hour weeks.","2019-09-10 18:39 +0000","2350.0","62.0","0.026382978723404255","0.0","1.0","27.0","7.0","0.0","0.0","27.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171492717907439616","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171492717907439616","@genomic_pred Sounds a lot like https://t.co/Cz2M58Cjnf . An unsupervised autoencoder predicting as much of visual variance as possible is going to serve as a high-dimensional fingerprint/ID/similarity, enabling heritability much like GCTA etc.","2019-09-10 18:36 +0000","218.0","5.0","0.022935779816513763","0.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","2.0","0.0","1.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171454664048381953","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171454664048381953","@Miles_Brundage This could actually be really useful for me. Instead of popping up a screenshot for links without an annotation/summary, the page could be dumped into this!","2019-09-10 16:05 +0000","12149.0","33.0","0.002716272944275249","0.0","0.0","20.0","2.0","0.0","0.0","11.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
"1171223264833810432","https://twitter.com/gwern/status/1171223264833810432","@whyvert @WonkaWasRight I'm not sure about that. Inbreeding isn't useful for additive variance (I mention this in my Dune discussion), you're very limited in your selection if you choose among relatives so not meritocratic, and you get some inbreeding depression.","2019-09-10 00:46 +0000","765.0","10.0","0.013071895424836602","0.0","0.0","6.0","1.0","0.0","0.0","3.0","0.0","0","0","0","0","0","0","0","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-","-"
He interrupted her. Close at hand is a stable where two beautiful ponies are kept. They are snowy white, and are consecrated to the goddess Ku-wanon, the deity of mercy, who is the presiding genius of the temple. They are in the care of a young girl, and it is considered a pious duty to feed them. Pease and beans are for sale outside, and many devotees contribute a few cash for the benefit of the sacred animals. If the poor beasts should eat a quarter of what is offered to them, or, rather, of what is paid for, they would soon die of overfeeding. It is shrewdly suspected that the grain is sold many times over, in consequence of a collusion between the dealers and the keeper of the horses. At all events, the health of the animals is regarded, and it would never do to give them all that is presented.  On their return from the garden they stopped at a place where eggs are hatched by artificial heat. They are placed over brick ovens or furnaces, where a gentle heat is kept up, and a man is constantly on watch to see that the fire neither burns too rapidly nor too slowly. A great heat would kill the vitality of the egg by baking it, while if the temperature falls below a certain point, the hatching process does not go on. When the little chicks appear, they are placed under the care of an artificial mother, which consists of a bed of soft down and feathers, with a cover three or four inches above it. This cover has strips of down hanging from it, and touching the bed below, and the chickens nestle there quite safe from outside cold. The Chinese have practised this artificial hatching and rearing for thousands of years, and relieved the hens of a great deal of the monotony of life. He would not have it in the scabbard, and when I laid it naked in his hand he kissed the hilt. Charlotte sent Gholson for Ned Ferry. Glancing from the window, I noticed that for some better convenience our scouts had left the grove, and the prisoners had been marched in and huddled close to the veranda-steps, under their heavy marching-guard of Louisianians. One of the blue-coats called up to me softly: "Dying--really?" He turned to his fellows--"Boys, Captain's dying."     Assuming an air of having forgotten all about Dick¡¯s rhyme, he went to his place in the seat behind Jeff and the instant his safety belt was snapped Jeff signaled to a farmer who had come over to investigate and satisfy himself that the airplane had legitimate business there; the farmer kicked the stones used as chocks from under the landing tires and Jeff opened up the throttle.  ¡°Yes,¡± Dick supplemented Larry¡¯s new point. ¡°Another thing, Sandy, that doesn¡¯t explain why he¡¯d take three boys and fly a ship he could never use on water¡ªwith an amphibian right here.¡±      Should you leave me too, O my faithless ladie?  And years of remorse and despair been your fate,   That night was a purging. From thenceforward Reuben was to press on straight to his goal, with no more slackenings or diversions. "Is that you, Robin?" said a soft voice; and a female face was seen peeping half way down the stairs. <a href="http://www.mjsdsa.com.cn/">HoME</a><a href="http://mjsdsa.com.cn/">lãñÔóÂÜÀ­³ó
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